Accuracy on Predictions

September 29 Predictions:

18/40 (Main* Categories) - 45%



October 26:

24/40 (Main) - 60%



November 29:

27/40 (Main) - 68%

24/47 (Technicals) - 51%



January 1:

29/40 (Main) - 73%

24/44 (Technicals) - 55%



January 22:

33/40 (Main) - 83%

24/44 (Technicals) - 55%



The following appeared in all five of my predictions:



Best Picture: The Aviator & Finding Neverland

Best Director: Martin Scorsese

Best Actor: Jamie Foxx

Best Actress: Imelda Staunton & Kate Winslet

Best Supp. Actor: Clive Owen & Thomas Haden Church

Best Supp. Actress: Cate Blanchett, Laura Linney & Natalie Portman

Best Orig. Screenplay: The Aviator & Eternal Sunshine

Best Adapt. Screenplay: Finding Neverland & Sideways



(The above 8 categories were the *Main categories.)

Bottom Line: I rule.



I didn't make year in advance predictions except for Actress & Supporting Actress. I predicted both Kate Winslet for Eternal Sunshine and Cate Blanchett in The Aviator correctly. Let's face it: Blanchett was this year's Renee Zellweger. As far as the big Oscar failures, I'd say Vanity Fair and Troy were the ones that seemed like shoe-ins March of last year. I never took Alexander seriously, luckily, and that was showered in Razzie noms.