For TV, goooooooo EVA and SANDRA OH! That's right Sandra, show them your OH face!
Fashion watch - the ladies I am most looking forward to seeing work the red carpet:1. Reese Witherspoon
2. Sandra Oh
3. Charlize Theron
4. Keira Knightley
5. Michelle Williams
Best Supporting Actress:
Johansson - MacLaine - McDormand - Weisz - Williams
(I've seen 4/5 of these; not seen: Johansson)
Will Win: Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain
Next In Line: Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener (I'd say Johansson, but she is surprisingly MIA from many other lists, which leaves Focus' W gals to duke it out.)
Should Win: Jen Lindley. Joey Potter marries a gay guy in real life, Jen knows that those things stay on-screen.
Best Supporting Actor:
Clooney - Dillon - Ferell - Giamatti - Hoskins
(I've seen 4/5 of these; not seen: Hoskins)
Will Win: Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man (ONLY because he lost for Sideways.)
Next In Line: Matt Dillon - Crash (Clooney gets recognized elsewhere.)
Should Win: Gyllen...errr.. Matt Dillon
Best Actor - Comedy/Musical:
Brosnan - Daniels - Depp - Lane - Murphy - Phoenix
(I've seen 4/6 of these; not seen: Brosnan & Murphy)
Will Win: Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line
Next In Line: Jeff Daniel - Squid and the Whale
Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix
Best Actress - Comedy/MusicalDench - Jessica Parker - Knightley - Linney - Witehrspoon
(I've seen 4/5 of these; not seen: Dench)
Will Win: Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
Next In Line: Keira Knightley - Pride and Prejudice
Should Win: Keira or Reese, I'd be elated with either choice.
Best Actress - Drama
Bello - Huffman - Paltrow - Theron - Zhang
(I've seen 2/5 of these; not seen: Huffman, Paltrow and Zhang)
Will Win: Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Next In Line: Maria Bello - A History of Violence
I can't 'Should Win' this, but...MARIA!!! I just love that girl named Maria!
Original Song:
Brokeback Mountain - Christmas In Love - Chronicles of Narnia - Producers - Transamerica
Will Win: 'A Love That Will Never Grow Old' - Brokeback Mountain; it helps that it is ineligible for the Oscar
Next In Line: 'There's Nothing Like a Show on Broadway' - The Producers
Should Win: Brokeback's tender ballad
Original Score:
Brokeback Mountain - Chronicles of Narnia - King Kong - Memoirs of a Geisha - Syriana
Will Win: Gustavo Santaolalla - Brokeback Mountain
Next In Line: John Williams - Memoirs of a Geisha
Should Win: Gustavo's Brokeback is among the best...EVER.
Picture - Drama:
Brokeback Mountain - Constant Gardener - Good Night and Good Luck - History of Violence - Match Point
(I've seen 4/5 of these; not seen: Match Point)
Will Win: That Gay Cowboy Movie
Next In Line: Good Night and Good Luck
Picture - Comedy/Musical:
Mrs. Henderson Presents - Pride and Prejudice - Producers - Squid and the Whale - Walk the Line
(I've seen 4/5 of these; not seen: Mrs. Henderson Presents)
Will Win: Walk the Line
Next In Line: The Squid and the Whale
Should Win: a toss up between the love stories Walk the Line & Pride and Prejudice
Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain - Crash - Good Night and Good Luck - Match Point - Munich
Director:Lee - Brokeback; Meirelles - Constant Gardener; Clooney - Good Night; Jackson - Kong; Allen - Match Point; Spielberg - Munich
(seen everything above but Match Point)
Here's where it gets interesting...
Ang Lee won Director 5 years ago, so are they really going to give it to him again so soon? Maybe, if he doesn't win, Clooney is easily - and deservingly - next in line. However, if Clooney wins Director, Brokeback takes screenplay. If Ang takes director, Clooney won't go home empty handed, but with a Screenplay award. If Brokeback wins both, it probably wins everything it's nominated for. The only potential upset in either category would be Crash in screenplay. Maybe Match Point since they seem to have liked it.
Nevertheless, I'll lean toward Ang taking home a second Directing award and Clooney getting screenplay.
And finally, the category everyone is anxiously awaiting for...
Best Actor - Drama:
Crowe - Hoffman - Howard - Ledger - Strathairn
(seen everything but Howard)
Remember in 2002 when Julianne Moore won everything in sight, then came the Globes and they gave it to Kidman? Then Kidman seemed destined for Oscars but her fellow Globe Winner in the opposite category Zellweger took the SAG? Then we had a two way race between the starlets in which the original fave Julianne was shut out. This could be a repeat:
Hoffman has taken home most of the awards thus far, but it seems everyone is waiting for the Globe to declare him the favorite. Even if he takes this, I think whoever wins the BAFTA will win the Oscar. I expect Joaquin to take the SAG. Hoffman's biggest threat is Heath Ledger, who you just know the Globes want to see hand in hand with Michelle Williams and in each of their other hands: the award. However, if Hoffman does win and shows up unkempt and ungracious - the way he has appeared mostly so far, Ledger wins the Oscar. Yes, they really are that superficial. Heath also needs some fashion improvement. If they both show up looking like hobos, June Carter and Johnny Cash reign on Oscar night. But, to be safe...
Will Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Next In Line: Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
Should Win: People go into Brokeback Gyllenhaalics. They leave Heathens.
Recap:
Picture - Drama: Brokeback Mountain
Picture - Comedy/Musical: Walk the Line
Director: Ang Lee
Screenplay: Good Night and Good Luck
Actor - Drama: Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Actor - Comedy/Musical: Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line
Actress - Drama: Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Actress - Comedy/Musical: Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain
Score: Brokeback Mountain
Song: Brokeback Mountain
Scheduled to present: Denzel Washington, Nicolette Sheridan, Emma Thompson, Chris Rock, Gwyneth Paltrow, John Travolta, Renee Zellweger, Queen Latifah, Emmy Rossum, Natalie Portman, Drew Barrymore, Jamie Foxx, Harrison Ford, Pamela Anderson, Leonardo DiCaprio, Jessica Alba, Tim McGraw, Eric Bana, Hilary Swank, Tobey Maguire, Virginia Madsen, Evangeline Lily, William Petersen, Benjamin Bratt, Maura Tierney, Josh Duhamel, Ian Mcshane, Mariah Carey, Clint Eastwood, Lindsay Lohan, Catherine Deneuve and the cast of Will and Grace.
Thompson will be presenting the Red Button's Lifetime Acheivement Award for Distinguished Career in Dramatic Musical or Dramatic Comedy to Anthony Hopkins. Go EMMA! I thought maybe she would be presenting Brokeback, but I'm thinking Tobey Maguire will.
No comments:
Post a Comment