Mid Summer Oscar Predictions

I still don't think the Steven Spielberg Munich movie is going to make it out this year. I've also left off Untitled Niki Caro Project as it opens in three months and there's not even any stills let alone a trailer. And for fuck sake it doesn't have an official title. So here you go:

Best Picture:
A History of Violence
In Her Shoes
Jarhead
Match Point
Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Director:
David Cronenberg - A History of Violence
Sam Mendes - Jarhead
Woody Allen - Match Point
Rob Marshall - Memoirs of a Geisha
Tommy Lee Jones - The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada

Best Actor:
Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Tommy Lee Jones - The Three Burials...
Viggo Mortensen - A History of Violence
Bill Murray - Broken Flowers
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line

Best Actress:
Joan Allen - The Upside of Anger
Juliette Binoche - Bee Season
Cameron Diaz - In Her Shoes
Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Ziyi Zhang - Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Supp. Actor:
Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
Ed Harris - A History of Violence
Barry Pepper - The Three Burials...
Peter Sarsgaard - Jarhead

Best Supp. Actress:
Maria Bello - A History of Violence
Scarlett Johansson - Match Point
Gong Li - Memoirs of a Geisha
Shirley MacLaine - In Her Shoes
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line

Best Original Screenplay:
Broken Flowers - Crash - Elizabethtown - Match Point - Walk the Line

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain - A History of Violence - In Her Shoes - Jarhead - Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Costume Design:
Brothers Grimm - Chronicles of Narnia - King Kong - Memoirs of a Geisha - The New World

Best Art Direction:
Brothers Grimm - Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - Cinderella Man - King Kong - Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Cinematography:
Brokeback Mountain - Jarhead - King Kong - Memoirs of a Geisha - The New World

Best Editing:
Batman Begins - Cinderella Man - Jarhead - Memoirs of a Geisha - The New World

Best Sound:
Batman Begins - King Kong - The New World - Star Wars: Ep. 3 - War of the Worlds

Best Sound Editing:
King Kong - Star Wars: Ep. 3 - War of the Worlds

Best Score:
Cinderella Man - In Her Shoes - King Kong - Memoirs of a Geisha - The New World

Best Makeup:
The Brothers Grimm - Chronicles of Narnia - King Kong

Best Animated Feature:
Chicken Little - The Corpse Bride - Wallace and Gromit

Best Original Song: (just random guesses)
Brokeback Mountain - Brokeback Mountain - Chronicles of Narnia - Elizabethtown - In Her Shoes