Oscar Predictions #3 (of 7)

Me talking out my ass...

This will likely be the last set of predictions I leave Munich out of. It is still filming and set for release in 3 months. DreamWorks has done this type of thing before, and the result is usually messy. But it's Spielberg. If the release date still stands next month, I'll put it in some categories. Till then...

Best Picture:
Yes, no Geisha. I'm thinking it will be like The Last Samurai or Road to Perdition and score a lot of non-big nominations. I'm just not feeling it right now. The Family Stone is my alternative. And after seeing that trailer, All the King's Men could get in here, too.

Brokeback Mountain
Good Night. And, Good Luck
Mrs. Henderson Presents
*****The New World*****
Walk the Line


Best Director:
Hey, whodathunk Clooney would get a Director's nod & Screenwriting nod at the beginning of the year? I had him down as Actor for Syriana.

George Clooney - Good Night. And, Good Luck
David Cronenberg - A History of Violence
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain
*****Terrence Malick - The New World*****
James Mangold - Walk the Line


Best Actor:
Ledger's Ennis Del Mar will go down as one of the most iconic performances in the history of cinema. (Not one for hyperbole, am I?) Hoffman and Strathairn are the critics' darling. Phoenix gets the actual prize.

Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
Viggo Mortensen - A History of Violence
*****Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line*****
David Strathairn - Good Night. And, Good Luck


Best Actress:
4 previous winners Vs. Reese Witherspoon. Sidenote: If Phoenix does not win, most likely she won't either. Felicity Huffman won the Emmy which increases her visibility, but the movie Transamerica is supposed to be not so good.

Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
Diane Keaton - The Family Stone
Gwyneth Paltrow - Proof
Charlize Theron - North Country
*****Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line*****


Best Supporting Actor:
Not too confident about the first two, but the rest seem okay.

Clifton Collins Jr - Capote
Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
*****Bob Hoskins - Mrs. Henderson Presents*****
Christopher Plummer - The New World
Peter Sarsgaard - Jarhead


Best Supporting Actress:
Yes, Oscar-nominee Sarah Jessica Parker. You could also see Oscar-nominee Michelle Williams. Jen Lindley and Carrie Bradshaw strike back! I chose Yeoh over Li because, well, I have no idea....

Maria Bello - A History of Violence
*****Shirley MacLaine - In Her Shoes*****
Frances McDormand - North Country
Sarah Jessica Parker - The Family Stone
Michelle Yeoh - Memoirs of a Geisha


Best Original Screenplay:
The Family Stone will likely slip in here.

Crash
*****Good Night. And, Good Luck*****
Match Point
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Walk the Line


Best Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback owns this. You know they are just dying to give Larry McMurtry an Oscar.

All the King's Men
*****Brokeback Mountain*****
Capote
A History of Violence
In Her Shoes


Best Art Direction:
Charlie & the Chocolate Factory
Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch & the Wardrobe
King Kong
*****Memoirs of a Geisha*****
The New World

Best Cinematography:
Brokeback Mountain
Jarhead
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
*****The New World*****

Best Costume Design:
Casanova
*****Memoirs of a Geisha*****
Mrs. Henderson Presents
The New World
Pride and Prejudice

Best Editing:
Crash
Jarhead
*****The New World*****
Syriana
Walk the Line

Best Sound Mixing:
*****King Kong*****
The New World
Star Wars: Ep. 3
Walk the Line
War of the Worlds

Best Sound Editing:
Jarhead
King Kong
*****Star Wars: Ep. 3*****

Best Makeup:
Charlie & the Chocolate Factory
Chronicles of Narnia: the Lion, the Witch & the Wardrobe
*****Memoirs of a Geisha*****

Best Original Score:
Brokeback Mountain
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
The Family Stone
Memoirs of a Geisha
*****The New World*****

Best Original Song:
Brokeback Mountain
*****Brokeback Mountain*****
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
Crash
In Her Shoes

Best Visual Effects:
King Kong
*****Star Wars: Ep. 3*****
War of the Worlds

Best Animated Feature:
*****Tim Burton's Corpse Bride*****
Chicken Little
Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit

Tally:

The New World - 9 Nominations / 5 Wins
Brokeback Mountain - 9 Nominations / 2 Wins
Walk the Line - 7 Nominations / 2 Wins
Mrs. Henderson Presents - 5 Nominations / 1 Win
Good Night. And, Good Luck - 4 Nominations / 1 Win

Memoirs of a Geisha - 6 Nominations / 3 Wins
King Kong - 5 Nominations / 1 Win
A History of Violence - 4 Nominations
Jarhead - 4 Nominations
Capote - 3 Nominations
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride - 3 Nominations / 1 Win
The Family Stone - 3 Nominations
In Her Shoes - 3 Nominations / 1 Win
Star Wars: Ep. 3 - 3 Nominations / 2 Wins
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 2 Nominations
Chronicles of Narnia - 2 Nominations
Crash - 2 Nominations
North Country - 2 Nominations
War of the Worlds - 2 Nominations
All the King's Men - 1 Nomination
Casanova - 1 Nomination
Chicken Little - 1 Nomination
Match Point - 1 Nomination
Pride and Prejudice - 1 Nomination
Proof - 1 Nomination
Syriana - 1 Nomination
Wallace and Grommit - 1 Nomination